In this edition of Abbasi & Associates' Legal Blog, we will discuss about the continued financial troubles in the state of California. When the city of Stockton, California announced last month it would skip some bond payments and enter talks with its creditors, the municipal debt world shuddered. The economical and fiscal situation has gotten so bad that even major cities are facing bankruptcy.
Overall, the word out of bond markets is that if Stockton were to go bankrupt so could others and that is a truly real fear now. The reality is if Stockton were to go through Bankruptcy (which it will) it would be the largest U.S. city ever to do so. It could also create a virtual domino effect as they could show others how they can successfully "restructure" their bonds like the Greeks just did in Europe! But a close look at the situation across California suggests mass bankruptcies are unlikely as the damage is much worse than the benefits.
In order to avoid bankruptcy, most troubled local governments in the state have taken drastic steps to cut spending, with city managers asserting they have their arms around the problems. Further, a new state-mandated mediation process may also help municipalities avoid the worst - though it could force bondholders to accept losses outside the bankruptcy process.
After the City of Vallejo filed for bankruptcy in 2008, new legislation was passed which requires Stockton to try to mediate with its major bondholders, bond insurers, city employees and retirees into for up to 90 days to find a "solution." If a "solution" cannot be found, onto Bankruptcy.
As in other troubled cities around the state, the depth of Stockton's problems relates to the collapse of the real estate market, mass-foreclosures and general economic decline. According to online foreclosure marketplace RealtyTrac Inc, Stockton last year had the second-highest foreclosure rate of all large U.S. metro areas, with 5.43 percent of its housing units receiving foreclosure filings. Las Vegas had the highest rate: 7.38 percent, compared with a nationwide 1.45 percent.
As it stands, Stockton faces a deficit of as much as $38 million on its general fund budget of $165 million. With unemployment at 10.9 percent across California - and above 16 percent in hard-hit places such as Stockton and Fresno - raising revenue with new taxes and fees is difficult. State law also puts firm limits on property tax increases and the various proposition enacted by voters makes any type of tax rise difficult. Overall, it will be very difficult to see a way forward for Stockton without Bankruptcy which will further degrade public services and the rest because many of the bondholders in the state are pension funds, union funds, ect. In the end, there are no easy answers out there for Stockton or for any business or average person facing the worst real estate market in a generation.
If you are facing a foreclosure, contact our office for a Free Consultation on how to avoid the pitfalls of the foreclosure process. If you are considering Bankruptcy, contact our office for a Free Consultation we provide Chapter 7, Chapter 13 and Chapter 11 Bankruptcy services. We at Abbasi & Associates have a great deal of practical legal experience in Bankruptcy and Civil Litigation and help you navigate the uncertainties of today.